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Evolution and innovation usually happen in the realm of the adjacent possible.

Four billion years ago, carbon atoms mulled around in the primordial soup. But as life began, those atoms did not spontaneously arrange themselves into complex life forms like sunflowers or squirrels. First, they had to form simpler structures like molecules, polymers, proteins, cells, primitive organisms and so forth. Each step along the way opened up possibilities for new combinations, expanding the realm of what was possible, until finally a carbon atom could reside in a sunflower.

4 June, 2020 05:26 Share

Similarly, eBay could not be created in the 1950s. First, someone had to invent computers, then a way to connect those computers, then a World Wide Web for people to browse, and then a platform that supported online payments. Both evolution and innovation tend to happen within the bounds of the adjacent possible; in other words, the realm of possibilities available at any given moment

4 June, 2020 05:27 Share

Great leaps beyond the adjacent possible are rare, and doomed to be short-term failures if the environment is simply not yet ready for them. Had YouTube been launched in the 1990s, it would have flopped since neither the fast Internet connections nor the software required to view videos was available then.

4 June, 2020 05:28 Share

World-changing ideas generally evolve over time as slow hunches rather than as sudden breakthroughs.

According to Darwin, the theory of natural selection simply popped into his head when he was contemplating Malthus’ writings on population growth. But Darwin’s notebooks reveal that, far before this so-called epiphany, he had already described a very nearly complete theory of natural selection. This slow hunch only matured into a fully-formed theory over time. Only in retrospect does the idea seem so obvious that it must have come in a flash of insight.

4 June, 2020 05:30 Share

Although in retrospect great discoveries may seem like single, definable eureka-moments, in reality they tend to fade into view slowly. They are like gradually maturing slow hunches, which demand time and cultivation to bloom. According to Darwin, the theory of natural selection simply popped into his head when he was contemplating Malthus’ writings on population growth. But Darwin’s notebooks reveal that, far before this so-called epiphany, he had already described a very nearly complete theory of natural selection. This slow hunch only matured into a fully-formed theory over time. Only in retrospect does the idea seem so obvious that it must have come in a flash of insight

4 June, 2020 05:30 Share

Another slow hunch led to a revolution in the way we share information today: the World Wide Web. As a child, Tim Berners-Lee read a Victorian-era how-to book and was fascinated by the "portal of information" he had found. Well over a decade later, working as a consultant at the Swiss CERN laboratory and partially inspired by the book, he tinkered with a side-project that allowed him to store and connect chunks of information, like nodes in a network. Another decade later, CERN officially authorized him to work on the project, which finally matured into a network where documents on different computers could be connected through hypertext links. After decades of Berners-Lee’s slow hunch maturing and developing, the World Wide Web was born.

4 June, 2020 05:31 Share

Platforms are like springboards for innovations.

Around two decades ago, ecologists understood that a very specific and important type of keystone species warranted its own term entirely. Ecosystem engineers actually create habitats for other organisms, building platforms from which several others benefit. Consider, for example, the beavers that dam rivers, turning forests into wetlands, or the coral that builds thriving reefs in the middle of the ocean. Such platforms exist in the sphere of innovation as well, and they are used as springboards to leap into the adjacent possible. The Global Positioning System (GPS) is a good example of such a platform. Originally developed for military use, it has now spawned countless innovations from GPS trackers to location-based services and advertising.

4 June, 2020 05:32 Share

Ecologists use the term keystone species to describe organisms which are disproportionately important to the welfare of the ecosystem.

4 June, 2020 05:32 Share

Platforms often stack on top of each other, meaning that one platform provides the foundation for even more platforms, which again produce countless new innovations. Beavers fell trees that rot and attract woodpeckers to drill nesting holes in them. But once the woodpeckers have left, these holes are occupied by songbirds. The woodpecker has created a platform for songbirds. The story of Twitter is similar: the Web was based on existing protocols, Twitter was built on the Web, and now countless apps have been designed on the Twitter platform, the adjacent possible is being expanded at every step.

4 June, 2020 05:32 Share

Innovation and evolution thrive in large networks.

The basis of all life on Earth (and likely any extraterrestrial life out there) is carbon, because it is fundamentally good at connecting with other atoms and can thus construct complex chains of molecules. These connections allow new structures like proteins to emerge. Without carbon, the Earth would have likely remained a dead soup of chemicals. Connections also facilitate ideas. When humans first began to organize themselves into settlements, towns and cities, they became members of networks, which exposed them to new ideas and allowed them to spread their own discoveries. Before these connections, a novel idea by one person could well die with her since she had no network to spread it to. Great ideas rise in crowds.

4 June, 2020 05:33 Share

One imagines that in a field like molecular biology, great discoveries are made by peering through a microscope. Strikingly, it turned out the most important ideas arose during regular lab meetings where the scientists informally discussed their work. Other studies have shown that the most creative individuals have broad social networks that extend outside their own organization, and hence get new ideas from many different contexts.

4 June, 2020 05:34 Share

Cities facilitate such large networks, which allow ideas to be diffused and combined in novel ways. This is one of the reasons why cities are disproportionately more creative than smaller towns. Today, though, the greatest such creative network is not a city at all but the World Wide Web, creating, connecting and diffusing ideas more effectively than any network before it.

4 June, 2020 05:35 Share

Collaboration is at least as important a driver of innovation as competition.

The ability of inventors and entrepreneurs to capitalize on their discoveries is often cited as a fundamental driver of innovation. But while the commercialization potential of inventions indeed spurs innovation, it also generates patents and other restrictions, thus hindering the circulation and further development of ideas. Thus with regard to innovation, the very markets which are supposed to guarantee efficiency by rewarding inventors are in fact structurally inefficient, because they artificially prevent ideas from propagating and combining with others.

5 June, 2020 05:39 Share

Over the past 600 years, great inventions and discoveries seem to have increasingly gravitated away from individual inventors and toward networks of people. And even as the age of capitalism dawned and bloomed, most great discoveries have gone unrewarded by the markets. The World Wide Web, the theory of relativity, computers, X-rays, pacemakers and penicillin are but a few examples where the inventor has not profited. Certainly market-spurred innovation has been far more effective than innovation in command economies like the Soviet Union, but that still does not mean it is the optimal way forward. Yes, inventors may well deserve to be rewarded but the real question should be how to increase innovation in general.

5 June, 2020 05:40 Share

Lucky connections between ideas drive innovation.

This mix of turbulence and stability is why liquid networks are optimal for both the evolution of life and for creativity. Innovative networks, too, must teeter on the brink of chaos, in the fruitful realm between order and anarchy, just like water. Random connections drive serendipitous discoveries. Dreams, for example, are the primordial soup of innovation, where ideas connect seemingly at random. In fact, neuroscientists have confirmed that "sleeping on a problem" greatly helps solve it. More than a century ago, the German chemist Kekulé dreamt of a mythological serpent devouring its own tail, and subsequently realized how carbon atoms in a ring formed the molecule benzene

5 June, 2020 05:43 Share

But it seems chaos and creativity are linked even on a neurological level. Ideas are in fact manifestations of a complex network of neurons firing in the brain, and new ideas are only possible when new connections are formed. For some reason, neurons in the brain alternate between states of chaos – where they fire completely out of sync with each other – and organized phase-lock states – where large clusters of neurons fire at exactly the same frequency.

5 June, 2020 05:44 Share

The period of time spent in either state differs from brain to brain. Somewhat counter-intuitively, studies have shown that the longer the spells of chaos a person’s brain tends to experience, the smarter the person usually is.

5 June, 2020 05:44 Share

Serendipitous discoveries can be facilitated by a shared intellectual or physical space.

On an individual level, facilitating such serendipitous connections is simply a matter of simultaneously introducing ideas from different disciplines into your consciousness. Innovators like Benjamin Franklin and Charles Darwin both favored working on multiple projects simultaneously, in a kind of slow multitasking mode. One project would take center stage for days at a time but linger at the back of the mind afterwards too, so connections between projects could be drawn.

6 June, 2020 06:12 Share

The philosopher John Locke understood the importance of cross-referencing as early on as 1652, when he began developing an elaborate system for indexing the content of his commonplace book – essentially a scrapbook of interesting thoughts and findings. Such books formed his repository of ideas and hunches, maturing and waiting to be connected to new ideas. On an organizational level, the key to innovation and inspiration is a network which allows hunches to mature, scatter and combine with others openly.

6 June, 2020 06:13 Share

Great innovations emerge from environments that are partly contaminated by error.

Error is present in both the evolution of life and the innovation of great ideas, and it is not always a bad thing. Consider natural reproduction: genes are passed on from parent to offspring, providing "building instructions" for how the offspring should develop. Without occasional mutations, meaning random errors in those instructions, evolution would have long ago come to a virtual standstill. The elephant’s tusks or peacock’s feathers would have never emerged if only perfect copies of existing genes had propagated. Mutations endow creatures with new traits. While most of them fail fantastically, these errors also produce a few winners, thus driving evolution.

6 June, 2020 06:15 Share

Similarly, Alexander Fleming only discovered penicillin because of an error: he mistakenly allowed a bacteria sample to be contaminated by mold and began to wonder what had killed the bacteria. In fact, major new scientific theories often begin as pesky little errors in the data that keep demonstrating that something in the dominant theory is wrong. Unexplained errors force us to adopt new strategies and to abandon our old assumptions.

6 June, 2020 06:16 Share

In a study, psychologist Charlan Nemeth showed two groups of people slides with various colors on them, and asked the subjects to free-associate words after seeing each slide. Here’s the twist: into the second group, Nemeth inserted actors who occasionally claimed to see different colors than the actual one shown, e.g., "green" when the slide was in fact blue. The first group came up with only the most predictable associations (e.g., "sky" for a blue slide), but the second group was far more creative. The "error" introduced into the group forced them to consider more possibilities than just the obvious ones.

6 June, 2020 06:17 Share

Innovation thrives on reinventing and reusing the old.

Often, ideas are similarly repurposed along the way. Tim Berners-Lee created the World Wide Web as a tool for scholars but in the course of time it became a network for shopping, social networking and pornography, among other things. Johannes Gutenberg, on the other hand, found an innovative use for a 1000-year-old invention: he combined the ancient technology of the wine screw press – used to squeeze juice out of grapes – with his knowledge of metallurgy and created the world’s first printing press. Unconventional uses for old or even discarded items and ideas spur innovation. Nairobian cobblers make rubber sandals out of car tires, and Gustave Flaubert wrote Sentimental Education as a contortion of the old bildungsroman genre. The old is reshaped into the new.

6 June, 2020 06:20 Share

Evolutionary biologists use the term exaptation to describe the phenomenon where a trait originally developed for a specific purpose is eventually used in a completely different way. Feathers, for example, originally evolved as a method for temperature regulation, but today their airfoil-shape helps birds fly.

6 June, 2020 06:20 Share

Discarded spaces are also transformed through innovation. Just as the skeletal structure left behind by dead coral forms the basis of the rich and thriving ecosystem of the reef, abandoned buildings and rundown neighborhoods are often the first homes of innovative urban subcultures. Often, their unconventional thinking and experimentation has no place in glitzy mainstream malls or shopping streets initially, but old buildings allow subcultures to interact and generate ideas that then diffuse and spill over into the mainstream.

6 June, 2020 06:20 Share

Final summary

Both evolution and innovation thrive in collaborative networks where opportunities for serendipitous connections exist. Great discoveries often evolve as slow hunches, maturing and connecting to other ideas over time.

6 June, 2020 06:21 Share

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